Strength
Strength
|
41 21 5 Rank in State, Class, District |
936 -86 Strength Momentum |
1117 43.2(50) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/25/15 | at Albuquerque Academy | 0.002 | 1387 | L 0- 5 | Expected (0) | 919 | 8% | |
| 08/27/15 | at Cleveland | 0.005 | 1414 | L 2- 3 | Expected (+4) | 1134 | 7% | |
| 08/29/15 | Sandia | 0.005 | 1114 | L 1- 4 | Expected (-1) | 865 | 30% | |
| 09/01/15 | at Highland ?? | 0.011 | 845 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-3) | 800 | 59% | |
| 09/03/15 | at Del Norte ! | 0.013 | 784 | W 5- 2 | Expected (+2) | 1020 | 67% | |
| 09/08/15 | at Moriarty | 0.036 | 904 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-1) | 879 | 52% | |
| 09/11/15 | at Manzano | 0.052 | 886 | W 1- 0 | Expected (+1) | 971 | 54% | |
| 09/12/15 | Alamogordo | 0.047 | 1055 | L 3- 6 | Expected (-2) | 836 | 37% | |
| 09/17/15 | at Cibola | 0.051 | 1414 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-1) | 881 | 7% | |
| 09/19/15 | Carlsbad !! | 0.136 | 1103 | W 2- 0 | Better (+3) | 1110 | 32% | |
| 09/26/15 | West Mesa | 0.279 | 1119 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+1) | 968 | 30% | |
| 09/30/15 | at Atrisco Heritage | 0.130 | 1338 | L 2- 9 | Expected (-3) | 790 | 11% | |
| 10/03/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.355 | 1399 | L 0- 4 | Expected (+1) | 976 | 8% | |
| 10/07/15 | Valley ? | 0.228 | 1076 | L 1- 7 | Expected (-5) | 692 | 35% | |
| 10/14/15 | at West Mesa | 0.845 | 1119 | L 3- 4 | Expected (+1) | 987 | 26% | |
| 10/17/15 | Atrisco Heritage | 0.332 | 1338 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-2) | 823 | 13% | |
| 10/23/15 | at Valley | 0.930 | 1076 | L 0- 2 | Expected (0) | 915 | 31% | |
| 10/24/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.092 | 1399 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 657 | 8% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Rio Grande actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1117, while
Rio Grande's "weighted playing strength" is 915
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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